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Model baseline

2025 reforms

Autumn Budget 2024

The government increased the employer National Insurance rate from 13.8% to 15% and reduced the employer secondary threshold from £9,100 to £5,000 annually, both taking effect in fiscal year 2025-26.

Universal Credit rebalancing

Parliament passed legislation to implement Universal Credit rebalancing reforms, with the rebalancing switch activated in fiscal year 2025-26. The reforms include graduated standard allowance uplifts above inflation: 2.3% in 2026-27, 3.1% in 2027-28, 4.0% in 2028-29, and 4.8% in 2029-30. A new health element of £217.26 will be introduced for new claimants in fiscal year 2026-27.

Benefit uprating

Annual benefit uprating applied 4.1% increases to state pensions and 1.7% to working-age benefits, implemented through the standard uprating mechanism.

2024 reforms

Autumn Statement 2023

The government announced further National Insurance cuts, reducing the employee main rate from 10% to 8% and the self-employed Class 4 rate from 9% to 6% in fiscal year 2024-25. Class 2 National Insurance contributions were abolished for self-employed people, with the flat rate set to £0 in fiscal year 2024-25.

Capital gains tax changes (Autumn Budget 2024)

The government increased capital gains tax rates from 10%/20% to 18% for basic rate taxpayers and 24% for higher rate taxpayers in fiscal year 2025-26.

Spring Budget 2024

The government increased the child benefit high income tax charge threshold from £50,000 to £60,000 in fiscal year 2024-25.

Autumn Statement 2023 (Employee NI cut)

An initial National Insurance cut reduced the employee main rate from 12% to 10% in fiscal year 2024-25.

2023 reforms

Autumn Statement 2022

The government reduced the additional rate income tax threshold from £150,000 to £125,140, taking effect in fiscal year 2023-24. The government also began reducing the capital gains tax annual exempt amount from £12,300 to £6,000 in fiscal year 2023-24, with a further reduction to £3,000 in fiscal year 2024-25.

2022 reforms

Spring Statement 2022

The government announced an increase in the National Insurance primary threshold from £9,880 to £12,570, aligning it with the personal allowance in fiscal year 2022-23.

Autumn Budget 2021 (Health and Social Care Levy)

The government temporarily increased National Insurance rates by 1.25 percentage points in fiscal year 2022-23, later reversed the same fiscal year.

Mini-Budget 2022 (September)

The government announced increases to stamp duty nil rate thresholds, raising the main threshold from £125,000 to £250,000 and the first-time buyer threshold to £425,000.

Cost of living support

The government announced cost of living payments: £650 for means-tested benefit recipients, £300 for pensioners, and £150 for disability benefit recipients, implemented through dedicated payment calculation variables.

Energy Price Guarantee

Following the energy crisis, the government introduced an Energy Price Guarantee capping typical household bills at £2,500 in fiscal year 2022-23.

2021 reforms

Autumn Budget 2021

The government reduced the Universal Credit taper rate from 63% to 55% and increased work allowances by £500 annually in fiscal year 2021-22.

End of COVID-19 support

The government ended the Universal Credit £20 weekly uplift in fiscal year 2021-22, with rates reducing from the elevated 2020-21 levels.

Stamp duty holiday extension

The government extended the stamp duty holiday with phased withdrawal of the nil rate increases during fiscal year 2021-22.

2020 reforms

Summer Economic Update (July 2020)

The government introduced a stamp duty holiday with nil rates up to £500,000 in fiscal year 2020-21 to support the housing market.

COVID-19 response (March 2020)

Emergency measures included a £20 weekly increase to Universal Credit standard allowances and other working-age benefits in fiscal year 2020-21.

Current baseline (2025)

Key features:

What is not modelled

Notable exclusions:

All parameter values include references to primary legislation and can be found in the PolicyEngine UK parameters directory.